Thursday, June 24, 2004

Trends afgelopen week:

Telecom:
• TV, Triple play: intr door Cablevision (90 $/mnd), BellSouth plan trial TV-DSL binnen 12 mnd, plan SBC
• VoIP: intr Tiscali in Fra; intr business VoIP in UK door C&W; plan SBC
• FTTP: plan SBC
• SMS: prijsverlaging door KPN voor Hi prepaid tot 0.09 EUR/SMS, Telfort naar 8 cent; prijsconcurrentie Nw-Zld; lager tarief BouygTel
• 2.5G: plan intr Sprint 05
• 3G, UMTS: intr door SFR in Fra en Vodafone in Ned; investeringsplicht Spa verlicht; Bouygues pas 06/07, daarvoor EDGE; plan intr door Cingular 05 (HSDPA)
• License auctions: US wireless PCS 120105 (234 licenses, vooral ex-NextWave), 24 GHz band 280704 (880 licenses); Oman 2e mobiele naar TDC/Qatar Telecom
• Convergence: Business Everywhere (FT/Equant/Orange): toegang via WiFi, GPRS, DSL, Dial, later ook UMTS (04Q4)
• Allianties: FT met China Tel (R&D, procurement, training), FT met Motorola (R&D mobiel)
• IPO: Pages Jaunes (FT) julH1
• Technology: intr fuel-cell tbv consumer electronics door MTI MicroFuel Cells (= Mechanical Technology), 2-5 x meer charge maar recharging nog probleem; Zyxel intr VoIP over WiFi phone (110 gram); intr ‘push-to-email’ door Nextel (MP3 via Direct Connect)

Internet:
• Enterprise search: intr new software door FAST (‘Fast Marketrac’)
• Search: verbeteringen Ask Jeeves (SmartSearch box; binoculars)
• EIM: Yahoo! exit (cf vorige week); AOL exit AIM Enterprise gateway
• E-banking US 04Q1: users accounts +29% tot 22m, bill payment +37% tot 4.6m active users (comScore)
• IPO: Blackboard (elearning), plan Baidu, range Salesforce.com verhoogd

Media:
• Ads US 04: +9.3% tot 140.3 mrd (TNS, vorige prognose +7.8%; internet +16%, local tv +14%, cable tv +10%, network tv +9.8%, Spanish tv +7%)
• Ads US: +6.6% in 04 (vorige prognose 6.0), +5.5% in 05 (Merrill Lynch, Lauren Rich Fine)
• Ads US: +7.3% in 04 tot 263.3 mrd (was 6.8), +6.5% in 05 tot 280 mrd (Universal McCann (= Interpublic), Bob Coen)
• Ads worldwide: +5.5% in 04, +5.0% in 05 (Merrill Lynch, Lauren Rich Fine)
• Ads worldwide: +6.0% in 04 (was 5.8), +5.9% in 05 (Universal McCann (= Interpublic), Bob Coen)
• Political ads US 04: online 20-30m = 2-3%
• Radio: downgrades want nog geen recovery in ads
• Muziek: intr pocket CD (3 inch) door Universal; intr file-sharing ‘i2hub’ op Internet2; OD2 verkocht aan Loudeye; gerucht fusieplan EMI/Warner
• Film: Disney plant uitbreiding MovieBeam; MPAA looft $500 uit voor aangeven camcorder piraat



No comments: