Showing posts with label cloud. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cloud. Show all posts

Monday, July 05, 2021

Week 26 in Telecoms, Internet, Media

CORPORATE

  • Deutsche Telekom: Bloomberg: starts sale process of T-Mobile NL, EUR 4.5b, candidates: Apax Partners, Apollo Global Management, BC Partners, Providence Equity, Warburg Pincus
  • Orange PL Strategy Update 2024 (.Grow): 4 pillars: 1. create value in core business (fiber, convergence); 2. create new solutions for business using the latest technologies (5G); 3. further transform the company thanks to digitisation; 4. responsible management; raises guidance 2021; guidance 2021-24: rev CAGR LSD, EBITDA AL CAGR LSD-MSD, capex/annum PLN 1.7-1.9b, resume div from 2021 (payable 2022), floor PLN 0.25, LT target net debt/EBITDA 1.7-2.2x; focus on core (75%) of rev, 3 main growth engones (convergence, ICT, wholesale), convergence rev growth CAGR minimum 8%, ICT growth CAGR ~10%; targets 8m HP with FTTP by 2024 (currently 5.2m)
  • Telia: Sells 49% of tower business (4700 towers, 2020 rev EUR 88m, EBITDA 56m) in FI & NO to Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (= Brookfield AM) & Alecta; enterprise value 100% EUR 1524m (EV/EBITDA 27x 2020), cash proceeds EUR 722m for debt redux (net debt/EBITDA to 2.1x), to close 21Q4; total towers & rooftops Nordics & Baltics 25k
  • Telstra: Sells 49% of Telstra InfraCo Towers (8200 towers, passive infra only) to Future Fund, Commonwealth Superannuation Corp, Sunsuper at AUD 5.9b valuation, with 15 yr lease-back, cash proceeds after costs AUD 2.8b, to close 21/22Q1, to return 50% of proceeds to shareholders (div or SBB)
  • Salt: Reuters: plans IPO autumn 2021, valuation CHF 2.5b (incl debt), to raise CHF 700m from new shares
  • OneWeb raises $500m from Bharti Global, raises stake to 38.6% (UK gvt, Eutelsat, SoftBank 19.3% each)
  • RTL
    • Sells RTL BE (3 free TV channels in Wallonia: RTL-TVI (family, general interest), Club RTL (children, sports, classic movies & series), Plug RTL (fiction, young culture, reality TV); 3 radio stations: Bel RTL (talk, general interest), Radio Contact (music), digital station Mint (pop rock music); streaming service RTL Play; news website RTLInfo.be) to DPG Media (50%; VTM, Het laatste nieuws) and Groupe Rossel (50%; Le Soir), EUR 250m, to close 21Q4
    • Fremantle acquires Unscripted Business (12 companies in SE, NO, DK, FI) from NENT Group

NETWORKS

SERVICES

REGULATORY

  • SPECTRUM
    • Court NL in case Inmarsat vs Min EZK: orders changes to spectrum plan for interruption of Inmarsat's Global Maritime Distress and Safety System (GMDSS, maritime distress signals) network, operating in 3.5 GHz band from Burum (Inmarsat plans move to Greece from 2024)
  • PLATFORMS


Monday, April 19, 2021

Week 15 in Telecoms, Internet, Media

CORPORATE

  • Orange BE
  • Tele Columbus: EC approves takeover; accepted by 91.96%, to close 210419, then rights offering to raise EUR 475m
  • Eir (NJJ 33%, Iliad 32%) Report on poor customer service during corona virus pandemic due to remote working and outsourcing
  • Virgin Media UK (Liberty Global): CMA (UK) approves O2 UK merger, "unlikely to lead to any substantial lessening of competition in relation to the supply of wholesale services" (provisional, open for comments until 210507, final decision 210527)
  • Altice Europe (Patrick Drahi): Moody's: assigns B2 to sr secured notes ($3b) issued by Altice FR, outlook negative (high leverage, weak FCF generation); increases debt maturity from 5.5 to 5.9 yr, interest savings EUR 50m
  • Telstra: Rumor: considers merging Telstra International with PCCW Global (talks with PE firm I Squared Capital), Telstra to acquire PCCW Global
  • Amazon: Annual Report 2020, Letter to Shareholders, Proxy Statement; reaches 200m Prime subs worldwide; spent $11b (+41%) on content (movies, series, music) in 2020
  • Netflix: Moody's upgrades from Ba3 to Ba1, outlook positive
  • Clubhouse: Raises funds; rumor: at $4b valuation; 10m WAU
  • Squarespace: Plans IPO via direct listing; symbol SQSP
  • AppLovin: IPO, symbol APP, IPO price $80, opens at $70, closes $65.20 (-19%) on first trading day
  • Epic Games: Raises $1b (incl $200m from Sony), valuation $28.7b
  • Reservoir Media: Plans IPO via SPAC, with with Roth CH Acquisition Co II; 21Q3 on NYSE, symbol RSVR, EV $788m

NETWORKS

General

  • Ookla Speedtest Global Index (March 2021)
    • Global average FBB 99/53 Mb/s, MBB 48/13 Mb/s
    • FBB: Singapore #1 (234), Thai #2 (231), HK #3 (225), RO #4 (211), Monaco #5 (205), NL #27 (137)
    • MBB: UAE #1 (179), S Korea #2 (171), Qatar #3 (167), China #4 (150), KSA #5 (134), NL #8 (103)
  • Tefficient mobile data usage report 2020 (ranking 105 MNOs)
    • Global mobile data volume +38%, Zain Kuwait #1 (40.2 GB/SIM/mo), DNA #2 (34.8), 3 Austria #3 (30.5); T-Mobile NL 6.0, VodafoneZiggo 3.4, KPN 3.1
    • "The bottom 11 operators are from the low usage markets of Greece (Vodafone), Czech Republic (TMobile), Belgium (Proximus, Orange, Telenet BASE), Germany (Telekom, O2, Vodafone) and the Netherlands (KPN and Vodafone Ziggo – but not T-Mobile)."
    • " the nine operators with the highest revenue per GB are from six European countries: Greece, Belgium, Norway, the Netherlands, Czech Republic and Switzerland."

FTTP

  • Orange PL establishes open access FiberCo (Światłowód Inwestycje) 50/50 JV with APG
    • Orange PL anchor tenant
    • Valuation PLN 2.748b (debt-free, cash-free) = EUR 605m
    • Orange PL to receive PLN 1.374b = EUR 303m (PLN 887m on closing, PLN 487 on delivery during 2022-2026)
    • Orange PL contributes 0.7m lines, to add 1.7m lines in 5 yr in mid/low competition areas, capex PLN 3b (partly from new debt (>80%), equity contributions PLN 300m from each during 2023-2026); ultimately to own 2.4m lines
    • Will not be consolidated by Orange PL; Orange PL has option to acquire extra 1% + control between 2027 and 2029
    • To close end Aug 2021

HFC

5G

  • AR: DNA plans 5G pilot at Hiukkavaara school in Oulu, with BusinessOulu, Educational & Cultural Services, City of Oulu, Oulun Digi, Hiukkavaara school, Playsign: to develop AR experiences for phenomenon-based learning
  • VR: BT plans 5G at Hyberbat (battery maker) factory to support VR-enabled digital twin, with Ericsson, NVIDIA, Qualcomm
  • 360 degrees video: Verizon launches TUDN Vision: portal for 360 degree watching of soccer games televised by Univision
  • Cloud gaming: Vodafone IT launches 5G cloud gaming platform GameNow
  • SA 5G: Vodafone DE launches SA 5G in 3.5 GHz band at 10 sites in 170 cities, with Ericsson, Qualcomm, OPPO; latency 10-15 ms
  • Bell Labs Consulting (Nokia) report The Big Inversion ("How 5G+ technologies will create new value for industries in a post-COVID world")
  • Private Wireless
    • Nokia and EY partner on Private Wireless, 3 key offerings: 1. fuelling digital change in manufacturing, energy, and operations across industries, including for governments and cities; 2. building cybersecurity and digital trust by protecting and managing challenges brought by IoT and IT/OT crossover; 3. helping telcos, specifically, to capture and monetize 5G business enterprise opportunities
    • DT acts as SI for Private 5G for Industry 4.0

6G

SERVICES & CPE

Telco & other

Music

  • Spotify
    • Launches Car Thing in US (smart player, limited release, invite-only), free for select Premium subs (excl shipping): voice control (“Hey Spotify”), dial, touch screen (4 inch), preset buttons, requires Bluetooth and smartphone; "Our focus remains on becoming the world’s number one audio platform—not on creating hardware—but we developed Car Thing because we saw a need from our users, many of whom were missing out on a seamless and personalized in-car listening experience."
    • Partners with Warner Music Group to develop podcasts around WMG's catalogs
  • Apple Music: WSJ: Apple Music pays 52% of subscription rev (0.01 $/stream) to rights holders [compare Spotify: 67% to rights holders o/w 75-80% to labels = 50-53; Spotify has more subscribers and has a free+ads tier]
  • Distr deal with Epix (= MGM): bundle 13 $/mo, exclusive access to music to series Godfather of Harlem 
Video

  • Self Financial report based on IMDb ratings: Apple TV+ #1 (average score 7.24 or 7.13 on 70 titles), HBO Max 7.13 or 7.01, Netflix 6.94 (530 titles), Disney+ 6.63 (420 titles)
  • Morgan Stanley survey US: 39% say Netflix offers best originals, Amazon Prime 12%, Disney+ 7%, Hulu 7%, HBO Max 6%
  • Antenna & MoffettNathanson report on churn rates US 20Q4: Netflix 2.5%, Disney+ 4.3%, Apple TV+ 15.6%, HBO Max 6.7%, Peacock 9.5%
  • Plex: Reaches 25m MAU (r'red users who spent >= 10 minutes on Plex); >150 free channels, 20k free movies & episodes (from Lionsgate, Warner Bros, MGM, Sony Pictures Television, Sinclair Broadcast, AMC, A+E, Crackle, BBC); raises $50m

REGULATORY

  • Amazon: WSJ: leverages dominance in one business to compel partners to accept terms from another
  • Twitter: Launches Responsible Machine Learning Initiative led by ML Ethics, Transparency and Accountability (META) team: assess downstream or current unintentional harms in the algorithms used
  • Platforms
    • US Senator Josh Hawley (R-Mo) proposes Trust-Busting for the Twenty-First Century Act: ban M&A for fimrs with market cap >$100b, replace antitrust issue of consumer harm by protection of competition, , empower FTC
    • EU plan for AI regulation leaked: to establish European Artificial Intelligence Board
    • US House of Representatives Judiciary Committee approves report on platforms (Google, Facebook, Amazon, Apple); "each hold monopoly power over significant sectors" [see 201006]


Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Consumer clouds and lockers: implications for operators

What is cloud computing?
  • Internet-based computing, remote computing
  • Often subscription-based or free
  • On demand
  • Managed by third-party
  • Optional: automatic updates/back-ups, synchronisation across devices
OTT players (B2C):
  • Apple: iCloud, iTunes, iPhone, iPod, iPad.
  • Google: Android, Chrome, Chrome OS, Chromebook, Google Music, Gmail, Google Docs, Google Apps, YouTube, Picasa, Google Fiber, cloud connect for Microsoft Office.
  • Microsoft: Office 365, Lync, SkyDrive, Azure.
  • Amazon: Cloud Drive, Cloud Player, Kindle, Amazon Web Services.
  • Yahoo!: Yahoo! Mail, Flickr.
Services (B2C):
  • Any file: Amazon Cloud Drive, Box.net
  • Music: Spotify, Google Music (beta), Apple iCloud
  • Photos: Flickr
  • Video: Netflix, YouTube, Uitzendinggemist, BBC iPlayer, UltraViolet
  • Presentations: SlideShare, SlideRocket
  • Social networking: Facebook, LinkedIn, Hyves
  • OS (turn iPad or Chromebook into fully-fledged computer): Chrome OS
  • Office: Microsoft Office 365, Google Docs/Apps, Zoho
  • Individual file storage (for sharing): RapidShare, MegaUpload, zShare
  • Back-up, remote access: Dropbox, Mozy, Carbonite
Telco acquisitions (B2B), bringing data centers and services to the table:
  • NTT Com: Dimension Data, Frontline Systems
  • Verizon: Terremark
  • CenturyLink: Savvis
  • Windstream: Hosted Solutions
  • TDS: Visi
  • Cincinatti Bell: CyrusOne
  • Time Warner Cable: NaviSite
  • Telefonica: Acens Technologies
Operator initiatives (B2B):
  • Netflix is a big AWS (Amazon) customer for its Watch Instantly streaming service.
  • KPN launches SME Workspace: software and services from KPN CyberCenters at 40 EUR/employee/month (May 31 2011).
  • Telstra to invest AUD 800m over 5 years; 1 new datacenter, modernising existing, building new apps and a management portal (June 16 2011).
Developer platforms (B2B):
  • Salesforce.com: Force.com
  • VMware: Cloud Foundry
  • Microsoft: Azure
  • Amazon: BeanStalk
  • Google: App Engine
Computer vs. cloud:
  • As the computer/files/hard disks are cut out of the ecosystem and the cloud replaces them: a. connectivity becomes more important, and b. the computer ecosystem (Microsoft, Intel) stands to lose.
Infrastructure and connectivity:
  • Syncing/back-ups/updates will be done over WiFi, so wireless will not be burdened (for now). WiFi becomes even more important. Ultimately, WiFi implies fiber.
  • Other network elements (CDN's, data centers, servers) may also become more important. However, Apple (and Google) are using their own private networks.
  • Operators have control over the last mile, but Apple (and Google) may control all the other network elements. Next battlegrounds: WiFi, FTTH (as in Google Fiber).
  • Amazon Web Services provides cloud services to smaller players.
  • Hosting, co-location, housing.
Data:
  • Enormous lock-in for Apple (and Google) will work in their favour. They control the subscriber's data. Will operators have an answer and provide these services: put all your data in our cloud, with automatic back-up and syncing?
  • Apple's system is closed: plays on iOS devices only.
  • Apple and Google are going OTT, while operators have their own managed and secure infrastructure.
  • Is email (Hotmail, Yahoo! Mail, Gmail) the basis of developing a cloud strategy?
Other players:
  • Do cloud-based players such as Facebook, Dropbox, Zoho, Flickr, SlideRocket, Netflix, Evernote have a future?
  • Ericsson is in a way the biggest operator in the world, through its managed services. They can be a partner for telcos, which can then focus on sales & marketing.
  • Is UltraViolet still relevant? It's open, runs anywhere.
General:
  • Cloud negatives: security (privacy), reliability (access), latency. Also: digital media fragmentation across multiple clouds and devices.
  • Cloud positives: better functionality and flexibility, faster and automatic updates (everything as a service), cost savings (lower capex/opex), shift from capex (hardware) to opex (subscription).
Benefits for consumers:
  • Lower cost (SaaS, Slim PC)
  • Buy once, play anywhere (streaming)
  • Sync across devices
  • Share among family members
What is the future role of a telco?
  • Infrastructure? Last mile (fixed and wireless) is too expensive to replicate
  • Cloud computing? Local and managed datacenters offer better security.
  • Services, sales & marketing? OTT players are building direct-to-consumer relationships, with credit card billing.
  • Telcos are squeezed: competition, regulation, device manufacturers, OTT players.
Apple iCloud limitations:
  • iOS devices only.
  • No TV/video.
  • WiFi only.
  • Video calls (FaceTime) limited to on-net over WiFi.