Tuesday, September 20, 2022

Telenor Capital Markets Day 2022 - highlight: potential sale of 30% stake in Norway FTTP network

A CMD with apparently remarkably little noteworthy:

General:

  • New structure: Telenor Nordics & Telenor Asia
  • To become leader in Nordics in telecom & infra (to establish infra as separate business), security, IoT
  • To partner in Asia (or IPOs) to build scale and become #1 in several markets
  • To focus on 4 business areas: 1. Leading Nordic telco, 2. Strong Asian entity, 3. Leading Nordic infra co, 4. Adjacent business (current portfolio net asset value NOK 10-15b)

Outlook 2023-25:

  • Nordic SR growth LSD-MSD (incl DD growth for new services)
  • Nordic EBITDA growth MSD (annual opex redux 1-3%)
  • Growing dividend
  • Net debt/EBITDA 1.8-2.3x
  • Cumulative FCF from Telenor Asia NOK 12b
  • NPV synergies Asia NOK 20-25b
  • FCF to cover dividend in 2025
Other:
  • Norway copper-switch-off 2023, saves NOK 0.7b
  • Infrastructure business:
    • fiber (600k HP in NO; potential sale of 30% stake, proceeds partially for SBB)
    • datacenters
    • towers (26400 sites o/w 21700 fully owned; plans structural transaction)



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