If Forrester declares Blu-ray the winner ...

... I pick HD-DVD. I have my reasons. Also: usually not the best system wins (remember Betamax) and Philips loses.

Recent developments are Warner Bros and Paramount embracing Blu-ray - without giving up support for HD-DVD, however. Microsoft and Intel picked Sony's side at the HD DVD camp. Samsung, a Blu-ray supporter, is supposedly working on a player that will support both formats. And then there is the DivX 6 software, available on an Avel LinkPlayer right now.
Also, China is working on a third technology.

Time for a round-up:

HD DVD---------------------------------------Blu-ray
Toshiba--------------designer------------------Sony
NEC--------------------------------------------Matsushita/Panasonic
------------------------------------------------Philips
15--------------------storage (GB) per layer---25
AACS----------------DRM---------------------AACS, ROM-Mark, BD+
cheaper--------------disk production cost------more expensive
----------------------other---------------------laptop compatible
------------------------------------------------double layer disk
Sanyo----------------vendor backers----------Samsung
Canon------------------------------------------HP
Intel-------------------------------------------Apple
Microsoft--------------------------------------Dell
Universal-------------studio backers----------Sony Pictures
Warner Bros-----------------------------------Warner Bros
Paramount-------------------------------------Paramount
Walt Disney------------------------------------Walt Disney
20th Century Fox------------------------------20th Century Fox
------------------------------------------------Lions Gate
Japan: Dec 2005-----planned release
US: Feb/Mar 2006