Showing posts with label Yahoo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Yahoo. Show all posts

Monday, March 29, 2021

Week 12 in Telecoms, Internet, Media

Corporate

  • Euskaltel: Friendly offer from MasMovil (= KKR, Providence, Cinven): 11.17 EUR/share cash (16% premium) = EUR 2b; 52.32% agrees, unconditional at 75%; to maintain brand (Euskaltel, R, Telecable, Virgin)
  • Telstra
    • Update on proposed legal corporate restructure (part of T22 strategy); to be completed Dec 2021, AGM Oct 2021, scheme booklet to be published Sep 2021; 3 units: InfraCo Fixed (passive:  ducts, fibre, data centres, exchanges), InfraCo Towers (passive mobile: towers), ServeCo (products & services; active networks, RAN, spectrum; separate subsidiary for international business (incl submarine cables); to establish new holding Telstra Group; InfraCo Towers to attract external investment from 21/22Q2
    • Rumor: may merge with NBN
  • Verizon: Verizon Media to launch Yahoo Shops (marketplace) - Yahoo services have 3m subs, to be Verizon Media's consumer-facing brand
  • RTL: Rumor: plans sale of RTL BE (candidates: Telenet, DPG, Rossel, TF1) and RTL NL (candidates: DGP) and M6 (48%, family Frère 7.2%); DPG denies
  • Vivendi: Canal+ Polski files for IPO
  • WeWork: Plans IPO via SPAC, valuation $9b

Results

  • Salt: 20Q4
  • Tele2: Annual Report 2020; Kinnevik holds 27.2% of the capital and 42.0% of the voting rights YE 2020; more-for-more strategy in SE; div received from T-Mobile NL zero (note 30), "Over time we see an opportunity to crystalize value for our shareholders as we exit this market."; Other non-current assets (mainly T-Mobile NL stake) valued at SEK 7.16b = EUR 700m); book value T-Mobile stake SEK 7.011b = EUR 690m); "As part of the annual impairment test in 2020, it was reconfirmed that the recoverable amount of our holding in the Netherlands exceeds book value."
  • United Internet: 20Q4
  • 1&1 Drillisch: 20Q4; plans national 5G roaming & construction deals 21Q2; plans multi-vendor Open RAN, Central, Edge & Far-Edge datacenters, virtualised network; outlook 2021: SR EUR 3.1b, EBITDA 650m (incl 30m negative impact from 5G roll-out, 25m negative from corona virus; excludes 34.4m positive impact from adjusted MVNO deal); adjusted EBITDA 735m for Access, -30m for 5G
  • Tele Columbus: 20Q4
  • Polsat: 20Q4 & 2020 Annual Report & Briefing
  • Gamma Communications: Annual Report 2020
  • Ericsson Annual Report 2020

Networks

  • General
    • BCG for ETNO report Connectivity and Beyond: How Telcos Can Accelerate a Digital Future For All: EUR 300b (o/w 150b for 5G, 150b for fixed) telecoms investment in EU in 4 yr will yield 2.4m new jobs + EUR 113b added to economic growth (from 5G), accelerated green transformation (digital solutions reduces carbon emissions 15%, smart cities 30%, digital transformation in transport 30%)
    • Akamai reached new peak: 200 Tb/s
  • FTTP
  • 5G
  • 6G
    • Next G Alliance launches 2 working groups: 6G Roadmap Working Group (R&D) and Green G Working Group (environmental impact) [see 201013]
  • LEO
    • OneWeb reaches 146 sats in orbit; plans service launch end 2021 in UK, Alaska, N Europe, Greenland, Iceland, Arctic Seas, Canada; global by 2022

Services

  • Video
    • ViacomCBS: To raise $3b equity for investing in originals for Paramount+; $2b in Class B common stock,$1b in Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock - Moody's positive (Baa2, outlook stable)
    • NBCUniversal (Comcast): Considers SVOD service Universal Stream for non-US markets (Peacock for US)
    • HBO (AT&T): HBO Max to expand to UK, DE, IT 2025 (until then deals with Sky)
    • Report on share of exclusive content: Disney+ 89% (Total catalog: 311 TV shows/742 movies), Netflix 83% (Total catalog: 2,069 TV shows/3,766 movies), HBO Max 72% (Total catalog: 606 TV shows/1,932 movies), Paramount+ 41% of TV, 23% of movies, Hulu 40% (Total catalog: 1,700 TV shows/916 movies), Amazon Prime Video 38% (Total catalog: 2,161 TV shows/14,670 movies)
  • B2B
    • Free (Iliad) enters B2B market with Free Pro, launches new Freebox Pro 50 EUR/mo (first year 40) + 10 EUR/line/mo for additional lines (incl 2 fixed lines, NAS server; WiFi, based on 10G EPON tech, max 7/1 Gb/s; tri-band WiFi; 4G backup; Cloud Sync Pro for protected data storage, firewall, support); offering includes 1 5G/4G line
    • Sky (Comcast) Launches Sky Connect to enter SME market; launches Connection Pro: BB 4G backup, VoiceEdge (digital voice, 24 call mgt features), WiFi, security, support
    • Google: Launches Network Connectivity Center: console for a business of any size to manage all its networks on a global basis, seamlessly connects VPNs, partner & dedicated interconnects, 3rd-party routers & Software-Defined WANs

Regulatory

  • Congress US releases statements from Facebook, Google, Twitter CEOs on Section 230 (liability) for Hearing 210325; Facebook proposes platforms should be required to demonstrate that they have systems in place for identifying unlawful content and removing it; Twitter advocates transparency, has 2 projects: Birdwatch (users report misinformation), Bluesky (open & decentralized standards for social media); Google invests in journalism - Reddit, Etsy and Dropbox defend Section 230

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Consumer clouds and lockers: implications for operators

What is cloud computing?
  • Internet-based computing, remote computing
  • Often subscription-based or free
  • On demand
  • Managed by third-party
  • Optional: automatic updates/back-ups, synchronisation across devices
OTT players (B2C):
  • Apple: iCloud, iTunes, iPhone, iPod, iPad.
  • Google: Android, Chrome, Chrome OS, Chromebook, Google Music, Gmail, Google Docs, Google Apps, YouTube, Picasa, Google Fiber, cloud connect for Microsoft Office.
  • Microsoft: Office 365, Lync, SkyDrive, Azure.
  • Amazon: Cloud Drive, Cloud Player, Kindle, Amazon Web Services.
  • Yahoo!: Yahoo! Mail, Flickr.
Services (B2C):
  • Any file: Amazon Cloud Drive, Box.net
  • Music: Spotify, Google Music (beta), Apple iCloud
  • Photos: Flickr
  • Video: Netflix, YouTube, Uitzendinggemist, BBC iPlayer, UltraViolet
  • Presentations: SlideShare, SlideRocket
  • Social networking: Facebook, LinkedIn, Hyves
  • OS (turn iPad or Chromebook into fully-fledged computer): Chrome OS
  • Office: Microsoft Office 365, Google Docs/Apps, Zoho
  • Individual file storage (for sharing): RapidShare, MegaUpload, zShare
  • Back-up, remote access: Dropbox, Mozy, Carbonite
Telco acquisitions (B2B), bringing data centers and services to the table:
  • NTT Com: Dimension Data, Frontline Systems
  • Verizon: Terremark
  • CenturyLink: Savvis
  • Windstream: Hosted Solutions
  • TDS: Visi
  • Cincinatti Bell: CyrusOne
  • Time Warner Cable: NaviSite
  • Telefonica: Acens Technologies
Operator initiatives (B2B):
  • Netflix is a big AWS (Amazon) customer for its Watch Instantly streaming service.
  • KPN launches SME Workspace: software and services from KPN CyberCenters at 40 EUR/employee/month (May 31 2011).
  • Telstra to invest AUD 800m over 5 years; 1 new datacenter, modernising existing, building new apps and a management portal (June 16 2011).
Developer platforms (B2B):
  • Salesforce.com: Force.com
  • VMware: Cloud Foundry
  • Microsoft: Azure
  • Amazon: BeanStalk
  • Google: App Engine
Computer vs. cloud:
  • As the computer/files/hard disks are cut out of the ecosystem and the cloud replaces them: a. connectivity becomes more important, and b. the computer ecosystem (Microsoft, Intel) stands to lose.
Infrastructure and connectivity:
  • Syncing/back-ups/updates will be done over WiFi, so wireless will not be burdened (for now). WiFi becomes even more important. Ultimately, WiFi implies fiber.
  • Other network elements (CDN's, data centers, servers) may also become more important. However, Apple (and Google) are using their own private networks.
  • Operators have control over the last mile, but Apple (and Google) may control all the other network elements. Next battlegrounds: WiFi, FTTH (as in Google Fiber).
  • Amazon Web Services provides cloud services to smaller players.
  • Hosting, co-location, housing.
Data:
  • Enormous lock-in for Apple (and Google) will work in their favour. They control the subscriber's data. Will operators have an answer and provide these services: put all your data in our cloud, with automatic back-up and syncing?
  • Apple's system is closed: plays on iOS devices only.
  • Apple and Google are going OTT, while operators have their own managed and secure infrastructure.
  • Is email (Hotmail, Yahoo! Mail, Gmail) the basis of developing a cloud strategy?
Other players:
  • Do cloud-based players such as Facebook, Dropbox, Zoho, Flickr, SlideRocket, Netflix, Evernote have a future?
  • Ericsson is in a way the biggest operator in the world, through its managed services. They can be a partner for telcos, which can then focus on sales & marketing.
  • Is UltraViolet still relevant? It's open, runs anywhere.
General:
  • Cloud negatives: security (privacy), reliability (access), latency. Also: digital media fragmentation across multiple clouds and devices.
  • Cloud positives: better functionality and flexibility, faster and automatic updates (everything as a service), cost savings (lower capex/opex), shift from capex (hardware) to opex (subscription).
Benefits for consumers:
  • Lower cost (SaaS, Slim PC)
  • Buy once, play anywhere (streaming)
  • Sync across devices
  • Share among family members
What is the future role of a telco?
  • Infrastructure? Last mile (fixed and wireless) is too expensive to replicate
  • Cloud computing? Local and managed datacenters offer better security.
  • Services, sales & marketing? OTT players are building direct-to-consumer relationships, with credit card billing.
  • Telcos are squeezed: competition, regulation, device manufacturers, OTT players.
Apple iCloud limitations:
  • iOS devices only.
  • No TV/video.
  • WiFi only.
  • Video calls (FaceTime) limited to on-net over WiFi.

Thursday, March 18, 2010

Google's three-screen strategy coming together

In January, I wrote about Google's inevitable TV strategy here and here. Today the New York Times reports on plans involving Intel (SoC), Sony (TV, STB), Logitech (remote control) and Dish (test).

For widgets, either Yahoo! or Metrological could be contracted. Yahoo! seems an unlikely Google partner, after the Microsoft search deal.

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Google adds the third screen: Android in STB

It didn't take long for Google to somehow add the third screen after this post: MIPS Technologies plans digital home devices based on Google's Android. It will also integrate Yahoo!'s Widget Engine.

This is Google's first step into the TV market, although it already has Google TV Ads (auctioning off airtime) in place. Why not buy the Yahoo! TV-unit to get its hands on the TV widgets market .... ?

Sunday, February 03, 2008

Microsoft to MSN/Live: "You suck"

To the plethora of comments on the Microsoft bid for Yahoo! I wish to add just a few shorts.

The reasoning can largely be categorised in 3 groups: 1. Attack: together we are stronger; 2. Defend: against Google, MySpace, Facebook et al; 3. Synergies: from better management and reduced costs.

I think people should not loose these things out of sight:
  1. Typically, large corporations destroy a lot of value doing deals like these (cf. HP/Compaq, which was all about Dell).
  2. Market shares cannot simply be added together. Advertisers want to shop around, as do consumers. Therefore, to say that a 10% and a 15% share add up to 25% is shortsighted. It will be more like 20%. (And so: the little guys in particular may benefit!)
  3. What is the message from Ballmer to the MSN/Live employees? Quite simply: "you suck". And should Yang sell out, his message is loud and clear too: "you totally suck". I wonder what that will do to the motivation of these people, their willingness to cooperate and their eagerness to innovate. It wil be virtually impossible to get everyone to work together, from California and/or Washington. There will be ugly fights over whose video platform, whose shopping site, whose brandname, etc etc will dominate and 'win'.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Innovative mobile communication services

Innovation is coming to the mobile communications sector. Voice and SMS are not dead yet. This way, data revenues (other than SMS) will never make it past the 20% or so share of mobile service revenues ;-).

Virtual + real calling
Vodafone ('InsideOut') enables voice calling on and off Second Life. Telecom Italia's Second Life service is limited to on-net calling (between avatars). This functionality may spread, as Linden Lab is working on interoperability with IBM, in order to allow avatars to move into other virtual worlds.

Internet + mobile IM
Billed as micro-blogging service or as a Twitter look-alike, Jaiku is the newest Google annex. It extends into the mobile realm.

Email to SMS/IM
The latest Yahoo! Mail version added the possibility of sending messages to mobile phones (as an SMS) or to an IM service (Yahoo! or Live).

SMS + LBS
KPN launched olllo (with Heineken and MTV for advertising), a flirting service. It uses both SMS (for communication) and the callers' positions on the network (to find a victim) and obviously goes a little bit further than Sprint's 'friend finding' service, which uses GPS (so the pin-pointing is better, but it takes a GPS-enabled handset).

UPDATE (Oct. 11):
Of course I could have included SMS services from Google:
  • In September, it applied for a patent related to paying by SMS (Safaricom of Kenya apparently also has a payment system based on SMS, as does KPN-subsidiary Base).
  • Yesterday it launched Google SMS (queries by SMS for local info) in India.

Friday, October 05, 2007

Telcos should embrace the wholesale market

Yesterday I had a short meeting with an industry executive in my hometown Utrecht. Another very valuable meeting - by way of reality check.

We mainly discussed two topics.


1. Wholesale

I think of wholesale as a very attractive business. Obviously, there is a strong connection to the separation stance.
In the old days, incumbents like KPN instructed managers pretty explicitly to frustrate their wholesale clients. Even today, Deutsche Telekom thinks it can only recoup their FTTN/VDSL investments by demanding a regulatory holiday, effectively allowing its retail organisation sole access.
Now, this is all reversing – maybe not at DT but I do think at KPN (a finalist for Light Reading’s Awards). More incumbents acknowledge that independent service providers (let’s call them BSPs) have something to add – things that are not in the incumbents’ DNA. Think innovation. Also, marketing to specific niches can handily be left to focused BSPs.

Linked to this is the telco stance that the investment incentive supposedly disappears when full (structural or ownership) separation is forced upon the company by the regulator. Again, I do not see this. Extending the portfolio, and opening the platform to third-party developers, looks like a sound business strategy to me. It will attract BSPs large and small. Sure, investing carries risk, but that’s part of doing business, isn't it?

Speaking of which – applications. Please allow me to wander off for a moment. I have been putting together a very short overview.

Fixed
Back in April, BT took the lead by restructuring and establishing a BT Design and BT Operate unit, granting developers access plus a SDK. AT&T may be planning a similar move.

IPTV
See my post on Orca Interactive and SeaChange. IPTV seems to me the one area that could benefit most from adding apps, in order to strengthen the telco vis-a-vis
the cableco or satco.

Internet
Facebook did very well, allowing third-party developers access to the APIs, even if monetization is not quite so easy. In any case, the apps worked well for the valuation of Facebook.
Yahoo! may follow.

Mobile
Motorola launched a ‘solutions Catalog’ into beta to invite third-party developers.

2. KPN

Few will contest the strategic logic of the string of acquisitions (Telfort, Tiscali NL, Getronics, iBasis, etc.) by the Dutch incumbent, KPN. Right now, it looks like brand rationalisation will happen, but what does that mean when the company has a multi-brand strategy?
Of the above takeovers, obviously Tiscali is the one that will have to return its brand to the mothership in Italy. Normally, they would probably have 36 months or so. After that, I think KPN will revert to one of the existing brands. I guess XS4ALL, the premium brand, could be a candidate.

So, which holes are left in the KPN portfolio? After the Tele2 Belgium deal (which effectively precludes a Belgacom merger), KPN may shift its attention to Germany. I think E-Plus will be beefed up by an LLU operator. Some are not for sale (subsidiaries of Vodafone, Telefonica and Telecom Italia), many others probably lack sufficient network coverage. What’s left is Versatel Germany or QSC. The latter has a wholesale business only, so combining it with E-Plus may not be a bad idea at all.

Finally, for my readers at Belgacom – check out this Trouw article (in Dutch) on Reggefiber, the stealth FTTH builder in the Netherlands. Get back at those KPN guys who bought Tele2 Belgium, and enter the Netherlands by buying Reggefiber!
Some will argue that owning an (open access) network is at the lower end of the value chain, but I believe it can produce great returns, especially since a FTTH network is future proof. Granting independent BSPs open access not only allows you into the wholesale market, it will keep the regulator happy too. Furthermore, you can always start or buy your own retail organisation!

UPDATE (thanks Dirk 'FTTH' van der Woude: "It's been quite a while since I last reported something remarkable from the Netherlands, but I think this falls in that category.")
Reggefiber and KPN are teaming up in Almere, reports Trouw. That adds a twist to any Belgacom/Reggefiber speculation. Of course, all we need is a single FTTH network. KPN and Belgacom could dump all their FTTH assets into a Reggefiber Joint Venture and turn into service providers.
Here is an English translation of the Vincent Dekker story (translated by Vincent himself):

KPN has decided to join forces with Reggefiber to speed up the roll out of FTTH in Almere, the fifth largest city in The Netherlands. Reggefiber already owns some networks in smaller towns and in parts of cities, like the project in Amsterdam. This time they will build a network for the whole of Almere. KPN will deliver services on that network. It will bean open network though, so KPN will have no monopoly on it.
Then why would KPN do this? Well, I'm not sure, but it looks as if KPN has no other options. KPN is losing customers in great numbers to the TV-cable networks nowadays. These networks can offer full triple play, whereas KPN kan only deliver ADSL and telephony on its network. IPTV is not a success as yet. And its Digitenne (DVB-T) is also not good enough to really compete with the cablecos. KPN has a plan to roll out All-IP in the next 4 years, which is fiber to the street cabinets and old copper from there to the homes, but this VDSL will also not be good enough to protect marketshare.
So KPN needs FTTH badly. In Almere Reggefiber was already chosen to build the FTTH network and now KPN has decided to join forces with Reggefiber. It will encourage its customers to switch from the KPN POTS network to the fiber network. That should make the new network profitable in a very short time. On that network it will most probably not only offer very fast internet (100/100 to start with) and cheap IP telephony, but also DVD-quality analog video and digital hdtv. With that offering people might be persuaded not to switch to the cable company and even drop that cablecompany for their tv-service. In the Netherlands some 90 percent of all homes now still get TV via cable, the rest via satellite and a few percent via Digitenne.
KPN will keep its POTS network alive for the time being, but that can't last very long. So in a few years this incumbent will no longer own a network that covers the whole of the country. My guess is that Almere could very well be the start of much more cooperation between Reggefiber and KPN in other parts of the Netherlands, Amsterdam and other big cites to start with. KPN needs a network to compete witch cable, and it needs it fast. The news of todaycould therefore be good news for everybody in The Netherlands: the start of a national FTTH network at last. We're a few years behind Japan and quite a few other countries already, so it certainly is not too soon...
Almere is an interesting city for FTTH. The cable company there is UPC, owned by Liberty Global of John Malone. If Almere will show the same pattern as seen in other towns where Reggefiber already has fibernetworks, UPC can expect to lose some 70 percent of its customers in the next 2.5 years. After Amsterdam and Rotterdam Almere is UPC’s biggest market. So losing most of its customer there will hurt. And ater Almere, Amsterdam or Rotterdam could be next on the agenda of Reggefiber and KPN.
KPN has decided its POTS network in Almere has only marginal residual value. That's one message we got today. How long will it take before cable companies will admit that this is true for their network too?

Friday, July 20, 2007

Yahoo! v. Google: converging strategies but very different results

Yahoo! and Google reported and showed some remarkable differences, even as in fact they have converging strategies.

Obviously, Yahoo! is playing both the search/ads game and the portal game, whereas Google is doing search/ads and applications. Besides, Yahoo! has income from fees and tries to add apps. Google on the other hand earns license fees and is growing its portal ambitions. Add to that that the boundaries between search ads and display ads are becoming more vague, and we can see companies evolving toward each other.

Put differently, it does make sense to compare them.

This Google Spreadsheet is self-explanatory, but maybe some remarks are needed.
  • Growth at Google is much steeper, despite its larger base.
  • Yahoo! is much less internationally diversified.
  • The 'other' source at Yahoo! (fees, mainly from broadband partner and HotJobs) is much more significant than the one at Google (mainly licensing).
  • The 'TAC to Affiliate Revenues' ratio peaked at Google at 85%. Being generous to partner sites in giving them by far the largest revenue share is obviously a good way to gain market share.
  • Margins are much higher at Google.
  • Both are generating lots of cash.
  • I used Amazon.com's RoIC definition. Here, they are pretty much alike. The TTM term (trailing twelve months) is also an Amazon thing.
  • Calculating the 'per query' ratios, one should use keyword related advertising income only. Since the companies do not provide this information (ad income isn't broken down along the search/display division), I had to make some assumptions. For Yahoo!, I assumed the division is 50/50 and for Google I assumed it is 100/0.
  • The 'per employee' ratios of Google are about twice as good as Yahoo!'s.
  • Google's P/FCF TTM looks particularly high, but look at the rate at which FCF TTM is growing!

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Yahoo! preview: was Q1 the bottom?

Growth numbers seem to suggest that Yahoo! passed the corner, 07Q1 having been the bottom.
Check out the table, based on sales of $1.24bn - the consensus number that slavishly follows guidance (i.e. toward the top end of the lower half of the original range).




Thursday, June 21, 2007

Turmoil in Yahoo!/Semel aftermath keeps eBay merger option alive

I believe all the turmoil around Yahoo!, after CEO Terry Semel quit, fortifies the case for a merger with eBay, which I defended before.
Keep in mind that Google is the perennial enemy to both. Microsoft on the other hand is carefully treated as an equally beleaguered colleague, rather than as a competitor.

The recent animosities by no means endanger a Yahoo!/eBay merger:
  • Google was ready to invade eBay's Live event, which made eBay pull away from AdWords. Instead, eBay could be a bigger Yahoo! partner.
  • Google attacked Microsoft over Vista's desktop search. The case was settled.
Nor do the recent advances, quite to the contrary:
  • Yahoo!'s problems keep any merger speculation alive, particularly with Microsoft.
  • Now the Times of London reports that News Corp floated the idea of swapping MySpace for a 30% Yahoo! stake. I believe the implied MySpace valuation must be too high for Yahoo!, which proved quite frugal when approaching Facebook. Also, I believe that Yahoo! needs to be a 'content neutral' aggregator, not a News Corp vehicle.
  • However, the eBay/MySpace talks are still ongoing.
  • Yahoo! has not responded to Ron Burkle's try to involve Yahoo! in a counter offer for Dow Jones, News Corp's much desired prey.

In other words, I think Yahoo! is carefully aiming for eBay. At the same time, News Corp must be kept at an arm's length.


Thursday, May 10, 2007

How Terry and Meg are marrying off Yahoo! and eBay

It is interesting to see what happened at Yahoo!, six months after Brad Garlinghouse’s ‘Peanut Butter Manifesto’ was leaked to the Wall Street Journal. In general, he called for focus and job cuts.

It looks to me like Yahoo! is quietly implementing Brad’s underlying recommendations. Focus is in fact increasing (but as a content aggregator Yahoo!’s coverage remains naturally wide). Job cuts could be on the cards next. Still, Yahoo! seems pretty phlegmatic in executing its grand plan. Take for instance Facebook. As Mr. Zuckerberg is looking for more and more money, a deal with Yahoo! is getting less and less likely.

As Yahoo! is focusing and eBay is expanding its branch of e-commerce operations (see below), speculation over increased cooperation or even a merger may continue.

So what action have we seen at Yahoo? First of all, a restructuring into three groups was launched: Advertiser & Publisher, Audience and Technology. Some high-profile vacancies were created in the process. As Susan Decker seems to be heading for the CEO job when Terry Semel retires later this year, the company is trying to hire a CFO and an Audience CEO.

Second, Yahoo! got focused on improving its search engine and monetisation efforts under the ‘Panama’ banner.

Third, it is defending the display market that Google is entering. Yahoo! is building ‘brand universes’ for large advertisers and it acquired Right Media. Also, it entered into a large newspaper cooperation.

Fourth, Yahoo! continued the ‘relaunch’ of its verticals, lastly Yahoo! Finance and Yahoo! Travel. At the same time, the company has started discontinuing other sites, such as the North American Auctions business and Yahoo! Photos (which will migrate to Flickr). Yahoo! Bookmarks and del.icio.us could be merged, but the former is simply too successful to discontinue. New verticals include Yahoo! Food.

Fifth, Yahoo! continually expands its community features. It bought blogging services MyBlogLog and Wretch (Taiwan), as well as Bix.com (runs contests). The vastly popular Yahoo! Answers teamed with Answers.com. A deal with Reuters will see uploaded photos and videos appear both on Yahoo! and Reuters.com. The new Yahoo! Pipes allows for the creation of mash-ups.

A different way of seeing increased focus is by looking at what does NOT offer: no satellite images such as Google Earth and Microsoft Virtual Earth; no Office look-alikes such as Google’s Docs & Spreadsheets and its soon-to-launch presentations tool; offline efforts are largely limited to wireless and print (no radio, TV, outdoor and in-game, as we have seen at Google); e-commerce activities are limited to certain countries.

The latter easily leads to some eBay speculation.

First, as Yahoo! is focusing, eBay is in fact expanding without creating more overlap. The e-commerce activities comprise not only the core auctions business, but a growing list of related services and sites: Buy It Now, eBay Express, Shopping.com, Rent.com, Craigslist, Marktplaats.nl, Kijiji. Recently eBay added StubHub (ticket sales) and possibly StumbleUpon (recommendations).
As a side note, it is quite easy to list a few takeover candidates for eBay to grow further within the e-commerce sector: single-item retailers (Woot.com in the US, iBood.com in Europe), travel (Expedia, Orbitz, Travelocity), securities trading (E*Trade, Zecco.com), swapping (La La Media) or even Amazon.com.

Second, Yahoo! and eBay are already partnering on a number of services (search, ads, payments, communication).

Third, strong positions in the Far East make a nice fit as well, as overlap is limited.

Fourth, eBay is aiming for increased community activity (see StumbleUpon) - a core strength at Yahoo!.

Would Terry Semel and Meg Whitman feel any urge to do a large deal before retiring or moving into politics?

Tuesday, February 13, 2007

OFFLINE://Internet on the move



Wednesday, January 10, 2007

HARDWARE://Implications from Apple

Apple introduced the iPhone (with Cingular), Apple TV and AirPort Extreme. I am sure they will be widely covered in the blogosphere; I will be short.

Here are my questions and remarks:


  • Will the user interface (touch-screen, one button) really work well?
  • Why is the deal with Cingular exclusive and multi-year? (The Verizon Wireless/YouTube deal is exclusive for only a limited period of time.) What did Cingular/AT&T offer to get this deal from Apple?
  • The iPhone seems an expensive gadget (for now?), therefore addressing a limited market - unless Cingular offers a big subsidy. Apple did the same for Mac and iPod, so that is OK. What puzzles me is that the 8 GB product is a full $100 more expensive than the 4 GB handset.
  • What will the Cingular service plan look like, especially the data part? Will they go the Hutchison/X-Series way?
  • It lacks UMTS (for now?). Apple seem to be commiting to the GSM-world anyway.
  • It has a 2 MP camera, which I personally consider too limited for competing against standalone digital cameras.
  • How will the iPod hold up against the iPhone?
  • Has a deal been worked out with Linksys/Cisco for the use of the iPhone brand?
  • Who will be partners in Europe and Asia?
  • Apple follows the divide-and-conquer road, allowing both Yahoo! (push email, search) and Google (Talk, Maps, search) on the iPhone. Skype is a notable absent (but now there is iSkoot - Symbian only, but that will change and could include the Apple OS?), but Jajah has stated that it will be compatible.
  • Will there be any truth in Eliot Van Buskirk's rather compelling case against iTunes?
  • The AirPort uses the hip draft-11n standard.
  • Apple TV ($300) must hurt Sling Media's new SlingCatcher (which will be cheaper at < $200), as well as Orb (free).

UPDATE (Jan 11):

UPDATE (Jan 22):

  • iSupply calculates the cost of the $500 handset at $246. The 4GB NAND flash memory costs $35, the 8 GB costs $70.
  • Telefonica's O2 is rumoured to be a partner in Europe.
  • The draft 11n standard gained support at the IEEE, but full ratification is not expected until April 2008.